{
  "as_of": "2026-09-24T12:08:00+00:00",
  "sport": "NFL",
  "target_game": {
    "event_id": "e5fbd3b3953b896b1bf897ddadb3cc4b",
    "game": "Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers",
    "commence_time": "2026-09-25T00:15:00+00:00",
    "selection": "manual-matchup-aware-editorial"
  },
  "current_market": {
    "generated_at": "2026-09-24T11:39:09.199115+00:00",
    "median": 43,
    "minimum": 42.5,
    "maximum": 43.5,
    "matched_books": 11,
    "change_from": "2026-09-24T06:04:06.044369+00:00",
    "change": 0,
    "selected_quotes": [
      {
        "book": "DraftKings",
        "line": 42.5,
        "over_price": -118,
        "under_price": -102,
        "quoted_at": "2026-09-24T11:38:56+00:00"
      },
      {
        "book": "Caesars",
        "line": 43,
        "over_price": -109,
        "under_price": -110,
        "quoted_at": "2026-09-24T11:36:46+00:00"
      },
      {
        "book": "FanDuel",
        "line": 43.5,
        "over_price": -104,
        "under_price": -118,
        "quoted_at": "2026-09-24T11:38:39+00:00"
      },
      {
        "book": "BetMGM",
        "line": 43,
        "over_price": -110,
        "under_price": -108,
        "quoted_at": "2026-09-24T11:38:07+00:00"
      }
    ]
  },
  "saved_prop_snapshot": {
    "page_built": "2026-09-23T18:18:23.956073+00:00",
    "status": "historical snapshot for research; prices require a fresh check",
    "model_status": "Calibration fitted; not prospectively validated",
    "rows": [
      {
        "player": "Michael Penix",
        "market": "Passing attempts",
        "side": "under",
        "line": 31.5,
        "price": -115,
        "book": "BetMGM",
        "model_mean": 26.6318100397,
        "model_probability": 0.6363636364,
        "consensus_probability": 0.5,
        "edge_bps": 1014.799154334,
        "estimated_ev_per_100": 18.9723320158,
        "last_update": "2026-09-23T18:16:07Z"
      },
      {
        "player": "Tucker Kraft",
        "market": "Receptions",
        "side": "under",
        "line": 3.5,
        "price": 130,
        "book": "BetMGM",
        "model_mean": 2.2847795011,
        "model_probability": 0.5789473684,
        "consensus_probability": 0.4194391426,
        "edge_bps": 1441.647597254,
        "estimated_ev_per_100": 33.1578947368,
        "last_update": "2026-09-23T18:16:07Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "reporting": [
    {
      "title": "Michael Penix Jr. named starting QB for Thursday Night Football vs. Packers",
      "url": "https://www.atlantafalcons.com/news/michael-penix-jr-starting-qb-thursday-night-football-vs-packers",
      "published_at": "2026-09-21"
    },
    {
      "title": "Packers rule out four, list two questionable vs. Falcons | Week 3 Injury Report",
      "url": "https://www.packers.com/news/packers-rule-out-four-list-two-questionable-vs-falcons-week-3-injury-report-2026",
      "published_at": "2026-09-23"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Saved prop prices are not current quotes and are presented only as research leads.",
    "NFL prop calibration is not prospectively validated.",
    "No claim is made that injury news caused the observed game-total level or stability."
  ]
}