{
  "as_of": "2026-09-26T00:57:50.050516+00:00",
  "scope": "Descriptive regular-season starter splits, not possession-level or causal estimates. No injury-adjusted betting model was run.",
  "games_2025": [
    {
      "week": 1,
      "washington_points": 21,
      "opponent_points": 6,
      "starter": "Daniels"
    },
    {
      "week": 2,
      "washington_points": 18,
      "opponent_points": 27,
      "starter": "Daniels"
    },
    {
      "week": 3,
      "washington_points": 41,
      "opponent_points": 24,
      "starter": "Mariota"
    },
    {
      "week": 4,
      "washington_points": 27,
      "opponent_points": 34,
      "starter": "Mariota"
    },
    {
      "week": 5,
      "washington_points": 27,
      "opponent_points": 10,
      "starter": "Daniels"
    },
    {
      "week": 6,
      "washington_points": 24,
      "opponent_points": 25,
      "starter": "Daniels"
    },
    {
      "week": 7,
      "washington_points": 22,
      "opponent_points": 44,
      "starter": "Daniels"
    },
    {
      "week": 8,
      "washington_points": 7,
      "opponent_points": 28,
      "starter": "Mariota"
    },
    {
      "week": 9,
      "washington_points": 14,
      "opponent_points": 38,
      "starter": "Daniels"
    },
    {
      "week": 10,
      "washington_points": 22,
      "opponent_points": 44,
      "starter": "Mariota"
    },
    {
      "week": 11,
      "washington_points": 13,
      "opponent_points": 16,
      "starter": "Mariota"
    },
    {
      "week": 13,
      "washington_points": 26,
      "opponent_points": 27,
      "starter": "Mariota"
    },
    {
      "week": 14,
      "washington_points": 0,
      "opponent_points": 31,
      "starter": "Daniels"
    },
    {
      "week": 15,
      "washington_points": 29,
      "opponent_points": 21,
      "starter": "Mariota"
    },
    {
      "week": 16,
      "washington_points": 18,
      "opponent_points": 29,
      "starter": "Mariota"
    },
    {
      "week": 17,
      "washington_points": 23,
      "opponent_points": 30,
      "starter": "Johnson"
    },
    {
      "week": 18,
      "washington_points": 24,
      "opponent_points": 17,
      "starter": "Johnson"
    }
  ],
  "groups": {
    "Daniels starts": {
      "games": 7,
      "wins": 2,
      "points": 126,
      "points_per_game": 18.0
    },
    "No Daniels start": {
      "games": 10,
      "wins": 3,
      "points": 230,
      "points_per_game": 23.0
    },
    "Mariota starts": {
      "games": 8,
      "wins": 2,
      "points": 183,
      "points_per_game": 22.875
    }
  },
  "sources": {
    "update": {
      "label": "Friday injury update: Dan Quinn\u2019s press conference",
      "url": "https://www.hogshaven.com/pressers/443505/dan-quinn-jayden-daniels-week-to-week-marcus-mariota-sam-cosmi"
    },
    "injury": {
      "label": "Reuters / Field Level Media: September 20 injury and Dallas game",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com/sports/commanders-qb-jayden-daniels-exits-with-left-elbow-injury--flm-2026-09-20/"
    },
    "daniels": {
      "label": "Commanders: Daniels career statistics",
      "url": "https://www.commanders.com/team/players-roster/jayden-daniels/career"
    },
    "mariota": {
      "label": "Commanders: Mariota career statistics",
      "url": "https://www.commanders.com/team/players-roster/marcus-mariota/career"
    },
    "scores": {
      "label": "Commanders: 2025 results",
      "url": "https://www.commanders.com/schedule/2025/"
    },
    "starts": {
      "label": "Daniels: 2025 game log",
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/players/jayden-daniels/stats/logs/2025/"
    },
    "schedule": {
      "label": "Commanders: 2026 schedule",
      "url": "https://www.commanders.com/schedule/"
    }
  },
  "market_snapshot_at": "2026-09-25T22:27:29.042375+00:00",
  "market": [
    {
      "id": "2a529c108305ffa049d8b6cfdbaa4d36",
      "sport": "NFL",
      "game": "Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders",
      "commence_time": "2026-09-27T17:00:00+00:00",
      "start_label": "Sun 01:00 PM ET",
      "median": 40.0,
      "minimum": 40.0,
      "maximum": 40.5,
      "books": {
        "draftkings": 40.5,
        "williamhill_us": 40.5,
        "betus": 40.0,
        "fanduel": 40.5,
        "betrivers": 40.5,
        "lowvig": 40.0,
        "betonlineag": 40.0,
        "mybookieag": 40.0,
        "betmgm": 40.0,
        "bovada": 40.0,
        "fanatics": 40.0
      },
      "quotes": [
        {
          "book": "draftkings",
          "label": "DraftKings",
          "line": 40.5,
          "over_price": -102,
          "under_price": -118,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:26:58+00:00"
        },
        {
          "book": "williamhill_us",
          "label": "Caesars",
          "line": 40.5,
          "over_price": -106,
          "under_price": -114,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:23:52+00:00"
        },
        {
          "book": "betus",
          "label": "BetUS",
          "line": 40.0,
          "over_price": -115,
          "under_price": -105,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:26:43+00:00"
        },
        {
          "book": "fanduel",
          "label": "FanDuel",
          "line": 40.5,
          "over_price": -105,
          "under_price": -115,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:27:00+00:00"
        },
        {
          "book": "betrivers",
          "label": "BetRivers",
          "line": 40.5,
          "over_price": -108,
          "under_price": -113,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:27:00+00:00"
        },
        {
          "book": "lowvig",
          "label": "LowVig.ag",
          "line": 40.0,
          "over_price": -113,
          "under_price": -102,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:26:27+00:00"
        },
        {
          "book": "betonlineag",
          "label": "BetOnline.ag",
          "line": 40.0,
          "over_price": -115,
          "under_price": -105,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:27:20+00:00"
        },
        {
          "book": "mybookieag",
          "label": "MyBookie.ag",
          "line": 40.0,
          "over_price": -110,
          "under_price": -110,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:26:26+00:00"
        },
        {
          "book": "betmgm",
          "label": "BetMGM",
          "line": 40.0,
          "over_price": -112,
          "under_price": -105,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:26:27+00:00"
        },
        {
          "book": "bovada",
          "label": "Bovada",
          "line": 40.0,
          "over_price": -110,
          "under_price": -110,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:26:30+00:00"
        },
        {
          "book": "fanatics",
          "label": "Fanatics",
          "line": 40.0,
          "over_price": -110,
          "under_price": -110,
          "quoted_at": "2026-09-25T22:27:20+00:00"
        }
      ],
      "previous_books": {
        "betmgm": 40.5,
        "betonlineag": 40.0,
        "betrivers": 40.5,
        "betus": 40.0,
        "bovada": 40.5,
        "draftkings": 40.5,
        "fanatics": 40.5,
        "fanduel": 40.5,
        "lowvig": 40.0,
        "mybookieag": 40.0,
        "williamhill_us": 40.5
      },
      "change_from": "2026-09-25T15:16:13.566768+00:00",
      "change": -0.5,
      "change_label": "-0.5 (11 matched books)"
    }
  ],
  "calculations": {
    "daniels_2025_int_pct": 1.5957446808510638,
    "mariota_2025_int_pct": 3.0837004405286343,
    "under_40_5_minus113_profit_per100": 88.49557522123894,
    "under_40_minus105_profit_per100": 95.23809523809524
  }
}