Market Results · NHL 2026–27

NHL market results

Every NHL prop and game line we track, graded against the books’ own prices. See where overs or unders are running ahead of what the market expected, this season or lately, and whether it is more than chance.

Through Sep 30 · 8 games · 443 graded lines

Every market at a glance

Each row is one market. The hollow ring is the share of overs the books’ prices implied; the dot is the share that actually went over. The number on the right is the gap in bets: +5 means five more overs than the prices implied.

Prices impliedMore overs than expectedMore unders than expected

Bold gaps are outside the range chance usually produces. Select a market for its charts.

Table view: every market this season

Market	Lines	Overs–unders	Over rate	Prices implied	Vs. expected
Game total	8	4–4	50.0%	51.3%	−0.1
Puck line (favorites vs. underdogs)	8	3–5	37.5%	37.8%	−0.0
Moneyline (favorites vs. underdogs)	8	4–4	50.0%	58.7%	−0.7
Shots on goal	139	60–79	43.2%	48.9%	−7.9
Points	136	41–95	30.1%	45.6%	−21.1
Goals	51	12–39	23.5%	29.8%	−3.2
Assists	93	24–69	25.8%	34.2%	−7.8

Is it more than chance?

Running count of overs minus what the prices implied, in puck-drop order.

The shaded band is where the count stays 9 times out of 10 if the books’ prices were exactly right. A line that leaves the band is unusual; one that wanders inside it is noise.

Week by week

The same comparison, one row per week.

How far results landed from the line

By line

Do low lines and high lines behave differently?

Small groups swing a lot; check the count under each label.

Biggest misses either way

The five largest finishes over and under the line in this window. Hover or tap a row for the game.

How this page works

What the prices implied. For each skater and stat we use the main line: the line offered by the most books in our last pregame snapshot (ties go to the line nearest the median). Each book’s over and under prices are converted to a no-vig probability, then averaged across books.
Results. Official NHL game and skater statistics, including overtime; a shootout counts as one goal for the winner on game lines, as books grade them. A skater with no official appearance is void and left out. Pushes are shown but do not count toward rates.
Chance range. If every line’s no-vig probability were exactly right, the running count would stay inside the shaded band 90% of the time. The band treats each bet as independent. Props from the same game tend to move together (a high-scoring game pushes many overs at once), so real swings run wider than the band shows.
Prices captured. The last snapshot we saved before each game, normally our morning refresh of the game day. These are not closing lines.
Units. One unit on every main line at the average price across books, vig included. It shows how far results ran from the prices; it is not a strategy.
This page describes the market. It does not use our models and is not a pick list; for those, see NHL Top Picks.