Daily market briefing · Fourth & Value

The market rundown: September 28, 2026

25 upcoming games checked · 12 with a changed matched-book median · 21 with different totals across books.

Prices checked Sep 28 at 08:53 AM ET

Open today's picks and current quote checks →. This dated edition preserves its market rundown; current picks are shown only on the latest briefing.

The price rundown

Each range is across observed book totals for the same game. “Change” compares medians from matched books against the previous stored snapshot, never a claimed opener.
Game / start ETMarket medianBook rangeChange
NFL · Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears
Mon 08:15 PM ET		41.541.5–42.0
11 books		+0 (11 matched books)
MLB · Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
Tue 02:00 PM ET		6.56.5–7.0
9 books		-0.25 (4 matched books)
MLB · Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros
Tue 05:00 PM ET		8.08.0–8.5
9 books		+0 (3 matched books)
NHL · Florida Panthers @ Carolina Hurricanes
Tue 05:00 PM ET		6.56.0–6.5
11 books		+0 (11 matched books)
NHL · Montréal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs
Tue 07:10 PM ET		6.55.5–6.5
10 books		First comparable snapshot
MLB · Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
Tue 08:10 PM ET		6.56.5–6.5
10 books		First comparable snapshot
NHL · New York Rangers @ Boston Bruins
Tue 08:10 PM ET		5.55.5–6.0
11 books		First comparable snapshot
MLB · Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
Tue 10:00 PM ET		7.07.0–7.5
10 books		First comparable snapshot
NHL · Vancouver Canucks @ Edmonton Oilers
Tue 10:10 PM ET		6.56.5–6.5
11 books		First comparable snapshot
NHL · Chicago Blackhawks @ Vegas Golden Knights
Tue 10:40 PM ET		5.55.5–6.0
10 books		First comparable snapshot
NFL · Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
Thu 08:15 PM ET		38.037.5–38.0
11 books		-0.5 (5 matched books)
NFL · Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders
Sun 09:30 AM ET		47.2546.5–47.5
10 books		+0.5 (4 matched books)
NFL · Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants
Sun 01:00 PM ET		44.543.5–44.5
10 books		+0 (3 matched books)
NFL · Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens
Sun 01:00 PM ET		43.543.0–43.5
9 books		+0.5 (3 matched books)
NFL · New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
Sun 01:00 PM ET		48.548.0–48.5
10 books		+0 (4 matched books)
NFL · New York Jets @ Chicago Bears
Sun 01:00 PM ET		43.042.5–43.5
9 books		+0 (4 matched books)
NFL · Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun 01:00 PM ET		51.2550.5–51.5
10 books		+1.25 (4 matched books)
NFL · Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans
Sun 01:00 PM ET		47.547.0–48.0
10 books		+0.5 (3 matched books)
NFL · Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun 01:00 PM ET		39.539.5–40.5
9 books		-7 (3 matched books)
NFL · Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles
Sun 01:00 PM ET		46.546.0–46.5
5 books		+1 (3 matched books)
NFL · Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings
Sun 04:05 PM ET		39.539.5–39.5
9 books		-3 (3 matched books)
NFL · Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers
Sun 04:25 PM ET		46.546.5–46.5
5 books		+0.5 (3 matched books)
NFL · Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun 04:25 PM ET		47.547.0–47.5
10 books		+2 (3 matched books)
NFL · Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks
Sun 04:25 PM ET		43.043.0–43.5
10 books		-0.75 (4 matched books)
NFL · Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers
Sun 08:20 PM ET		50.049.5–50.5
10 books		First comparable snapshot

Price checks follow the morning sports refresh, with later scheduled checks at 11:07 a.m., 4:07 p.m. and 9:07 p.m. Eastern. Recovery and hourly maintenance can refresh prices when due; check the quoted timestamps. Lowest/highest totals are among observed books and are not a ranking of expected value.

Behind the numbers

MLB · Analysis · 2026-09-26

Rockies–White Sox props: testing Quintana’s 3.5-strikeout line

Market snapshot: September 26, 2026 at 02:09 PM ET. Prices may have changed.

MLB · Analysis · 2026-09-26

Snell’s strikeout under: a workload question, not a shutdown call

The Dodgers’ postseason preparations put starter workload in focus. Our experimental Snell forecast favors under 7.5 strikeouts, but Friday’s pitching decisions are not a Saturday innings limit.

Reporting to follow

Coverage and sources

Prices: The Odds API. The price rundown compares full-game totals; quotes more than six hours old and started games are excluded at publication. Today's picks preserve a dated snapshot selected from the separate NFL, MLB and NHL model boards after freshness and review checks. Newsgathering: dated ESPN league RSS headlines linked to their original articles. Market quotes and publisher timestamps are retained in the downloadable edition snapshot; model forecasts and offers remain in each sport's pipeline archives.

Download this edition's market data · Latest briefing · Back to the homepage