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The daily rundown
Friday, September 25
Prices checked Sep 25 at 11:16 AM ET
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The lead · NFL · Analysis

Falcons 35, Packers 14: Penix under wins, Kraft under misses

Atlanta’s offensive revival carried the game over 43, while our two saved prop signals split. The result shows why passing volume, scoring and price need separate scorecards.

Published 2026-09-25 · Original prices remain dated to the article

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32 upcoming games checked · 8 with a changed matched-book median · 26 with different totals across books.

MLB · Movement

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

The matched-book median moved down 0.5 since Sep 25 at 06:13 AM ET. The current all-book median is 6.5; this measures movement, not its cause.

Lowest over total: LowVig.ag · Over 6.5 (-113)

Highest under total: Caesars · Under 6.5 (+104)

Fri 10:11 PM ET · 10 books observed

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MLB · Book disagreement

Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins

A 1-point gap separates the lowest and highest totals across 9 books. The number available depends on where you bet; compare the attached prices too.

Lowest over total: Caesars · Over 7.5 (-125)

Highest under total: FanDuel · Under 8.5 (-128)

Fri 07:11 PM ET · 9 books observed

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MLB · Next up

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

Starts Fri 04:05 PM ET. Books show totals from 6.5 to 7, with a median of 6.5. No net change in the matched-book median since the previous check.

Lowest over total: MyBookie.ag · Over 6.5 (-111)

Highest under total: BetMGM · Under 7 (-130)

Fri 04:05 PM ET · 11 books observed

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Analysis worth your time

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Model inputs, current reporting and the case against the pick. These are dated features, not a list of live betting recommendations.

Around the leagues

Follow the story, then inspect the underlying board. Each league keeps its own prices, data status and model limitations.

  • NFL

    Weekly matchups, player usage, quarterback changes and totals.

  • MLB

    Daily games, pitcher workload, lineups and the postseason picture.

  • NBA

    Rotation changes, availability and the opening-season watchlist.

  • NHL

    Goaltending, line combinations and preparation for the regular season.

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