Independent analysis · Always free
Sports, markets and everything in between. The numbers start the conversation. The context makes it useful.
The lead · MLB · Analysis
Atlanta’s pitching plan and Edwin Díaz’s sharper outing frame Game 3, but a split between totals of 6 and 6.5 matters more than simply expecting another low-scoring game.
Read the full story →Featured · MLB · Analysis
Tampa Bay turns to Freddy Peralta after a one-run series opener. Our experimental forecast points higher than the 6.5 total, but recent pitching form and unsettled lineups warrant caution.
Read the full story →Featured · NHL · Learning
Shootout goals, overtime, regulation-only lines and scratched players: why two books’ “same” NHL bet can be graded differently, with examples.
Read the full story →32 upcoming games checked · 22 with different totals across books.
The matched-book median moved down 0.5 since Oct 05 at 07:09 AM ET. The current all-book median is 6; this measures movement, not its cause.
Compare the board →A 1-point gap separates the lowest and highest totals shared by at least two of 9 books. The number available depends on where you bet; compare the attached prices too.
Compare the board →Starts Mon 05:10 PM ET. All 11 books show a total of 6.5; the prices can still differ. No net change in the matched-book median since the previous check.
Compare the board →Model inputs, current reporting and the case against the pick. These are dated features, not a list of live betting recommendations.
MLB · Analysis
Michael King’s outs forecast sits above the 14.5 market threshold, but Game 2 urgency cuts both ways. Bullpen workload and the final batting order matter more than the series narrative alone.
NFL · New feature
We graded 1,857 NFL props and game lines against the books’ own prices. The market has been close overall, with big week-to-week swings. Introducing Market Results.
MLB · Market review
Every Wild Card starter’s strikeout line, graded. Books priced in October’s quick hooks—but strikeout rates jumped and the overs went 7–4.
