Independent analysis · Always free
Sports, markets and everything in between. The numbers start the conversation. The context makes it useful.
The lead · Sports · Research
Wind, fatigue, travel and referees across 90,866 NFL, NHL, NBA and MLB games. Most situations are already in the closing total; strong NFL wind is the exception.
Read the full story →Model inputs, current reporting and the case against the pick, plus signed opinion from our contributors. Dated features, not live betting recommendations.
Sports · Learning
How betting markets are made, what makes a sportsbook sharp, why bettors trust Pinnacle’s no-vig odds, and how to check your price against them.
MLB · Analysis
Milwaukee leads 2-0 as the NLCS reaches Dodger Stadium. Our experimental estimates on Snell's outs and Gasser's strikeouts disagree with the market, but that is not a proven edge.
MLB · Analysis
Our experimental MLB model singled out nine prices across Dodgers–Brewers and Guardians–Rays. Here is the context behind each and where the market disagrees.
31 upcoming games checked · 20 with different totals across books.
| Game | What changed | Best over | Best under |
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns | Total 41 → 40.5 | O 40.5 (-105) | U 40.5 (-106) |
| NHL Carolina Hurricanes @ Winnipeg Jets | Books split 5.5 to 6.5 | O 5.5 (-135) | U 6.5 (-135) |
| NHL Dallas Stars @ Chicago Blackhawks | Books split 5.5 to 6 | O 5.5 (-121) | U 6 (-108) |
| NHL St Louis Blues @ Nashville Predators | Books split 5.5 to 6 | O 5.5 (-130) | U 6 (-108) |
| NHL Boston Bruins @ Anaheim Ducks | Books split 6 to 6.5 | O 6 (-120) | U 6.5 (-120) |
These games have started. The next scheduled price check refreshes this table.
How saved picks and forecasts graded, sport by sport, with strengths, misses and coverage limits.
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