Daily market briefing · Fourth & Value
The market rundown: October 13, 2026
32 upcoming games checked · 25 with different totals across books.
Open today's picks and current quote checks →. This dated edition preserves its market rundown; current picks are shown only on the latest briefing.
Price movement after our picks
For each pick on a recent card, we keep the latest market snapshot taken after publication and before the start. A pick “beat the move” when other books’ fair probability at the same line ended above the published price’s break-even rate. A changed line is counted separately. Refreshes run a few times a day, so this is the latest pregame snapshot we hold, not necessarily the closing line, and one snapshot says little about skill.
| Sport | Picks observed | Beat the move (same line) | Average move | Line moved our way |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 18 of 18 | 1 of 18 | -2.1 pp | 0 of 1 |
| NHL | 19 of 19 | 10 of 19 | +0.5 pp | 0 of 0 |
The price rundown
| Game / start ET | Market median | Model total | Lowest line | Highest line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL · New Jersey Devils @ Detroit Red Wings | 6.0 | 5.92 | 5.5 Fanatics | 6.0 Caesars |
| NHL · Florida Panthers @ Columbus Blue Jackets | 6.0 | 5.95 | 5.5 Fanatics | 6.0 Caesars |
| NHL · Buffalo Sabres @ Montréal Canadiens | 6.5 | 6.27 | 6.5 FanDuel | 6.5 Caesars |
| NHL · Washington Capitals @ Carolina Hurricanes | 6.5 | 6.26 | 6.0 BetMGM | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Seattle Kraken @ Philadelphia Flyers | 6.0 | 6.04 | 5.5 FanDuel | 6.0 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers | 6.0 | 5.98 | 5.5 DraftKings | 6.5 BetRivers |
| NHL · St Louis Blues @ Ottawa Senators | 5.5 | 5.93 | 5.5 Fanatics | 5.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Vancouver Canucks @ New York Islanders | 6.0 | 6.56 | 6.0 LowVig.ag | 6.5 BetRivers |
| MLB · Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays | 7.0 | 6.5 BetMGM | 7.0 Bovada | |
| NHL · Pittsburgh Penguins @ Chicago Blackhawks | 6.5 | 6.41 | 6.5 Caesars | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Minnesota Wild @ Winnipeg Jets | 6.5 | 5.83 | 6.0 Caesars | 6.5 BetRivers |
| NHL · Colorado Avalanche @ Dallas Stars | 6.0 | 5.99 | 5.5 FanDuel | 6.5 BetRivers |
| NHL · Vegas Golden Knights @ Nashville Predators | 6.5 | 5.98 | 6.0 Caesars | 6.5 Fanatics |
| NHL · Toronto Maple Leafs @ Utah Mammoth | 6.5 | 6.37 | 6.5 FanDuel | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Calgary Flames @ Anaheim Ducks | 6.0 | 6.40 | 6.0 LowVig.ag | 6.5 BetRivers |
| NHL · Edmonton Oilers @ Los Angeles Kings | 6.0 | 6.36 | 6.0 LowVig.ag | 6.5 BetRivers |
| NHL · Boston Bruins @ San Jose Sharks | 6.0 | 6.10 | 6.0 LowVig.ag | 6.5 BetRivers |
| MLB · Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers | 7.5 | 7.5 FanDuel | 7.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos | 41.0 | 40.5 Bovada | 41.0 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 42.5 | 42.5 LowVig.ag | 42.5 DraftKings | |
| NFL · Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons | 49.25 | 49.0 LowVig.ag | 49.5 Caesars | |
| NFL · Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns | 41.5 | 41.0 MyBookie.ag | 41.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles | 41.5 | 41.5 Fanatics | 42.0 MyBookie.ag | |
| NFL · Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts | 44.0 | 43.5 BetRivers | 44.0 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · New York Jets @ New England Patriots | 43.5 | 43.5 LowVig.ag | 43.5 Fanatics | |
| NFL · New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants | 45.5 | 45.0 BetRivers | 45.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 40.5 | 40.5 FanDuel | 40.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams | 52.5 | 52.0 BetMGM | 52.5 MyBookie.ag | |
| NFL · Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders | 53.5 | 53.5 Caesars | 53.5 MyBookie.ag | |
| NFL · Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs | 42.0 | 42.0 LowVig.ag | 42.5 FanDuel | |
| NFL · Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers | 53.0 | 52.5 FanDuel | 53.0 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers | 50.5 | 50.5 FanDuel | 51.0 BetUS |
Reporting to follow
- NBA Which NBA deals will get done? Bobby Marks' biggest extension decisions to watch
- NBA Tyrese Haliburton's return brings hope and expectations in Indiana
- NFL Seven things Solak thinks entering NFL Week 6: Time for Mendoza? Cowboys issues?
- NFL 2026 NFL Power Rankings: How all 32 teams stack up for Week 6
- NFL Broncos offense searching for more big plays, ready for Bo Nix to 'let it rip'
- MLB Source: Dodgers' decision on sitting Ohtani hinges on health
- MLB Chase DeLauter, José Ramírez lead Guardians' win in Game 1 of ALCS vs. Rays
- NBA San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz: Game Highlights
- MLB Brewers impose their will on Dodgers in taking 2-0 NLCS lead
- NHL Sturm sent to hospital after puck strikes head in Wild's win
Coverage and sources
Prices: The Odds API. The price rundown compares full-game totals; quotes more than six hours old and started games are excluded at publication. Today's picks preserve a dated snapshot selected from the separate NFL, MLB and NHL model boards after freshness and review checks. Newsgathering: dated ESPN league RSS headlines linked to their original articles. Market quotes and publisher timestamps are retained in the downloadable edition snapshot; model forecasts and offers remain in each sport's pipeline archives.
- NFL: 14 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- MLB: 2 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- NBA: 0 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- NHL: 16 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
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