Daily market briefing · Fourth & Value
The market rundown: October 25, 2026
27 upcoming games checked · 20 with different totals across books.
Open today's picks and current quote checks →. This dated edition preserves its market rundown; current picks are shown only on the latest briefing.
Price movement after our picks
For each pick on a recent card, we keep the latest market snapshot taken after publication and before the start. A pick “beat the move” when other books’ fair probability at the same line ended above the published price’s break-even rate. A changed line is counted separately. Refreshes run a few times a day, so this is the latest pregame snapshot we hold, not necessarily the closing line, and one snapshot says little about skill.
| Sport | Picks observed | Beat the move (same line) | Average move | Line moved our way |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 21 of 21 | 1 of 19 | -2.1 pp | 0 of 2 |
| NHL | 52 of 52 | 35 of 49 | +0.9 pp | 0 of 0 |
The price rundown
| Game / start ET | Market median | Model total | Lowest line | Highest line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL · Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints | 43.5 | 43.0 Bovada | 43.5 MyBookie.ag | |
| NFL · San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons | 50.5 | 50.0 LowVig.ag | 50.5 MyBookie.ag | |
| NFL · Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens | 46.0 | 46.0 LowVig.ag | 46.5 BetMGM | |
| NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers | 44.5 | 44.5 LowVig.ag | 44.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans | 37.0 | 36.5 BetRivers | 37.0 Caesars | |
| NFL · New York Giants @ Houston Texans | 42.5 | 42.5 LowVig.ag | 42.5 FanDuel | |
| NFL · Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings | 41.5 | 41.5 Bovada | 41.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets | 39.5 | 39.0 MyBookie.ag | 39.5 Fanatics | |
| NHL · Florida Panthers @ Chicago Blackhawks | 6.5 | 6.15 | 6.0 BetMGM | 6.5 BetRivers |
| NFL · Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals | 43.5 | 43.0 Fanatics | 43.5 MyBookie.ag | |
| NFL · Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions | 55.5 | 55.0 MyBookie.ag | 55.5 FanDuel | |
| NFL · Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders | 48.5 | 48.5 LowVig.ag | 48.5 MyBookie.ag | |
| NBA · Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz | 237.5 | 237.5 FanDuel | 238.0 LowVig.ag | |
| NBA · Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets | 231.5 | 231.5 Caesars | 232.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NHL · New York Islanders @ Dallas Stars | 5.5 | 5.41 | 5.5 Bovada | 5.5 BetUS |
| NBA · Orlando Magic @ New York Knicks | 224.5 | 224.0 Fanatics | 224.5 BetRivers | |
| NBA · Los Angeles Clippers @ Oklahoma City Thunder | 222.5 | 221.5 MyBookie.ag | 222.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NBA · Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves | 231.5 | 231.5 LowVig.ag | 232.5 BetRivers | |
| NHL · Montréal Canadiens @ Winnipeg Jets | 6.0 | 6.01 | 5.5 Fanatics | 6.0 BetUS |
| NBA · Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers | 227.5 | 227.5 LowVig.ag | 227.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NHL · Colorado Avalanche @ Nashville Predators | 6.5 | 6.23 | 6.5 DraftKings | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NFL · Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks | 42.5 | 42.5 FanDuel | 42.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NBA · Memphis Grizzlies @ Sacramento Kings | 236.5 | 236.5 FanDuel | 236.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NHL · Minnesota Wild @ Vancouver Canucks | 6.5 | 6.45 | 6.5 LowVig.ag | 6.5 MyBookie.ag |
| MLB · Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays | 7.0 | 7.0 BetMGM | 7.0 Caesars | |
| NFL · Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles | 44.0 | 44.0 LowVig.ag | 44.5 DraftKings | |
| NFL · Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers | 47.0 | 46.5 FanDuel | 47.0 LowVig.ag |
Reporting to follow
- MLB World Series Game 2 comeback shows Brewers are inevitable
- MLB How the 2026 and 1982 Brewers are alike, in style and in spirit
- MLB What Jackson Chourio, Junior Caminero bring to World Series
- NFL Sources: Cam Skattebo expected to resume role as Giants' lead RB vs. Texans
- NFL Sources: Josh Simmons told to leave Chiefs meeting by Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes
- NFL Why Derrick Henry has taken Jets RB Braelon Allen under his wing
Coverage and sources
Prices: The Odds API. The price rundown compares full-game totals; quotes more than six hours old and started games are excluded at publication. Today's picks preserve a dated snapshot selected from the separate NFL, MLB and NHL model boards after freshness and review checks. Newsgathering: dated ESPN league RSS headlines linked to their original articles. Market quotes and publisher timestamps are retained in the downloadable edition snapshot; model forecasts and offers remain in each sport's pipeline archives.
- NFL: 14 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- MLB: 1 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- NBA: 7 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- NHL: 5 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
Download this edition's market data · Latest briefing · Back to the homepage