Daily market briefing · Fourth & Value

The market rundown: October 31, 2026

31 upcoming games checked · 20 with different totals across books.

Prices checked Oct 31 at 07:14 AM ET

Open today's picks and current quote checks →. This dated edition preserves its market rundown; current picks are shown only on the latest briefing.

Price movement after our picks

For each pick on a recent card, we keep the latest market snapshot taken after publication and before the start. A pick “beat the move” when other books’ fair probability at the same line ended above the published price’s break-even rate. A changed line is counted separately. Refreshes run a few times a day, so this is the latest pregame snapshot we hold, not necessarily the closing line, and one snapshot says little about skill.

SportPicks observedBeat the move (same line)Average moveLine moved our way
MLB22 of 221 of 20-2.1 pp0 of 3
NHL78 of 7858 of 74+1.1 pp1 of 1

The price rundown

Book prices pulled Oct 31, 7:11 AM–7:13 AM ET

Full-game totals across observed books. Model total is the experimental NHL model’s expected full-game goals, including one overtime/shootout goal when regulation ends tied; other sports show a dash. Lowest line shows the book with the best Over price at that total; highest line shows the book with the best Under price. With four or more books, the range uses totals at least two books share; a total posted by one book alone is listed beneath as “Only”.
Game / start ETMarket medianModel totalLowest lineHighest line
NHL · Chicago Blackhawks @ Boston Bruins
Sat 01:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.06.04
Reg. 2.37–3.51 (away–home)
6.0 Caesars
O -110 / U -112
6.5 FanDuel
O +110 / U -134
NHL · St Louis Blues @ Detroit Red Wings
Sat 01:10 PM ET · 11 books
5.55.88
Reg. 2.82–2.88 (away–home)
5.5 FanDuel
O -124 / U +102
6.0 BetMGM
O -115 / U -105
NHL · Edmonton Oilers @ New York Islanders
Sat 02:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.56.29
Reg. 3.09–3.04 (away–home)
6.0 Bovada
O -117 / U -103
6.5 Fanatics
O +105 / U -125
NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning @ Nashville Predators
Sat 02:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.06.31
Reg. 3.12–3.03 (away–home)
6.0 BetUS
O -110 / U -110
6.5 Fanatics
O +110 / U -135
NBA · Portland Trail Blazers @ Utah Jazz
Sat 03:10 PM ET · 11 books
232.0—232.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
232.5 FanDuel
O -105 / U -115
Only BetRivers: 233.5 (O -108 / U -113)
NHL · Buffalo Sabres @ Los Angeles Kings
Sat 04:10 PM ET · 11 books
5.56.17
Reg. 3.01–2.99 (away–home)
5.5 BetUS
O -130 / U +110
6.0 Bovada
O -110 / U -110
Only BetRivers: 6.5 (O +112 / U -139)
NHL · Ottawa Senators @ San Jose Sharks
Sat 04:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.56.24
Reg. 3.16–2.92 (away–home)
6.5 LowVig.ag
O -108 / U -108
6.5 Caesars
O -117 / U -106
NBA · Philadelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Hornets
Sat 06:10 PM ET · 10 books
215.5—215.5 LowVig.ag
O -102 / U -113
216.5 BetRivers
O -112 / U -109
NBA · Atlanta Hawks @ New Orleans Pelicans
Sat 07:10 PM ET · 11 books
240.5—240.5 DraftKings
O -105 / U -115
241.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NHL · Pittsburgh Penguins @ Montréal Canadiens
Sat 07:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.56.35
Reg. 2.91–3.28 (away–home)
6.5 LowVig.ag
O -115 / U -101
6.5 Fanatics
O -120 / U +100
NHL · Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vancouver Canucks
Sat 07:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.57.05
Reg. 3.74–3.16 (away–home)
6.5 BetUS
O -120 / U +100
6.5 Bovada
O -128 / U +107
NBA · Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks
Sat 08:10 PM ET · 11 books
237.5—237.0 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
Only BetRivers: 236.5 (O -110 / U -110)
237.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NBA · Sacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies
Sat 08:10 PM ET · 11 books
233.5—233.5 FanDuel
O -104 / U -118
Only BetRivers: 232.5 (O -113 / U -108)
233.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NBA · Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs
Sat 08:10 PM ET · 11 books
226.5—226.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
226.5 FanDuel
O -115 / U -105
NHL · Columbus Blue Jackets @ Dallas Stars
Sat 08:10 PM ET · 11 books
5.55.68
Reg. 2.47–3.03 (away–home)
5.5 LowVig.ag
O +100 / U -116
5.5 Caesars
O -109 / U -114
NBA · Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets
Sat 08:40 PM ET · 10 books
218.5—218.5 BetRivers
O -105 / U -115
Only FanDuel: 217.5 (O -115 / U -105)
218.5 LowVig.ag
O -113 / U -102
NHL · Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche
Sat 10:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.56.44
Reg. 2.65–3.63 (away–home)
6.5 LowVig.ag
O -108 / U -108
6.5 LowVig.ag
O -108 / U -108
NFL · Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
54.5—54.5 BetRivers
O -106 / U -117
54.5 LowVig.ag
O -110 / U -104
NFL · Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
43.5—43.0 LowVig.ag
O -109 / U -105
43.5 FanDuel
O -115 / U -105
NFL · Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
54.5—54.5 Fanatics
O -105 / U -115
54.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NFL · Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
46.5—46.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
Only BetRivers: 46.0 (O -112 / U -109)
46.5 FanDuel
O -115 / U -105
NFL · Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
39.5—39.0 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
39.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
NFL · Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
45.5—45.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
46.5 FanDuel
O -102 / U -120
NFL · Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
46.5—46.5 FanDuel
O -105 / U -115
46.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NFL · Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
45.5—45.5 Caesars
O -108 / U -112
46.0 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
NFL · Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun 04:05 PM ET · 11 books
45.0—44.5 LowVig.ag
O -113 / U -102
45.5 FanDuel
O -105 / U -115
NFL · Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Sun 04:25 PM ET · 11 books
40.5—40.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
40.5 FanDuel
O -115 / U -105
NFL · New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
Sun 04:25 PM ET · 11 books
43.0—43.0 Caesars
O -108 / U -112
43.5 DraftKings
O -108 / U -112
NFL · Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
Sun 08:20 PM ET · 11 books
40.5—40.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
40.5 DraftKings
O -112 / U -108
NFL · Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
Mon 08:20 PM ET · 11 books
46.5—46.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
46.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NFL · Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens
Thu 08:15 PM ET · 8 books
48.5—48.5 Caesars
O -108 / U -112
49.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107

Price checks follow the morning sports refresh, with later scheduled checks at 11:07 a.m., 4:07 p.m. and 9:07 p.m. Eastern. Recovery and hourly maintenance can refresh prices when due; check the quoted timestamps. Lowest/highest totals are among observed books and are not a ranking of expected value.

Reporting to follow

Coverage and sources

Prices: The Odds API. The price rundown compares full-game totals; quotes more than six hours old and started games are excluded at publication. Today's picks preserve a dated snapshot selected from the separate NFL, MLB and NHL model boards after freshness and review checks. Newsgathering: dated ESPN league RSS headlines linked to their original articles. Market quotes and publisher timestamps are retained in the downloadable edition snapshot; model forecasts and offers remain in each sport's pipeline archives.

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