Daily market briefing · Fourth & Value

The market rundown: November 02, 2026

34 upcoming games checked · 30 with different totals across books.

Prices checked Nov 02 at 07:13 AM ET

Open today's picks and current quote checks →. This dated edition preserves its market rundown; current picks are shown only on the latest briefing.

Price movement after our picks

For each pick on a recent card, we keep the latest market snapshot taken after publication and before the start. A pick “beat the move” when other books’ fair probability at the same line ended above the published price’s break-even rate. A changed line is counted separately. Refreshes run a few times a day, so this is the latest pregame snapshot we hold, not necessarily the closing line, and one snapshot says little about skill.

SportPicks observedBeat the move (same line)Average moveLine moved our way
MLB22 of 221 of 20-2.1 pp0 of 3
NHL79 of 7959 of 75+1.1 pp1 of 1

The price rundown

Book prices pulled Nov 2, 7:11 AM–7:13 AM ET

Full-game totals across observed books. Model total is the experimental NHL model’s expected full-game goals, including one overtime/shootout goal when regulation ends tied; other sports show a dash. Lowest line shows the book with the best Over price at that total; highest line shows the book with the best Under price. With four or more books, the range uses totals at least two books share; a total posted by one book alone is listed beneath as “Only”.
Game / start ETMarket medianModel totalLowest lineHighest line
NBA · Oklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Mon 07:10 PM ET · 11 books
228.0—228.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
228.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
NHL · Vegas Golden Knights @ Boston Bruins
Mon 07:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.06.12
Reg. 2.78–3.17 (away–home)
6.0 LowVig.ag
O -115 / U -101
6.5 Fanatics
O +105 / U -125
NHL · Detroit Red Wings @ Florida Panthers
Mon 07:10 PM ET · 11 books
5.56.03
Reg. 2.79–3.07 (away–home)
5.5 Fanatics
O -125 / U +105
6.0 BetMGM
O -105 / U -115
NBA · Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers
Mon 07:40 PM ET · 11 books
232.0—231.5 Bovada
O -110 / U -110
232.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
Only BetRivers: 233.5 (O -105 / U -117)
NBA · Brooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks
Mon 07:40 PM ET · 11 books
221.0—220.5 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
221.5 BetRivers
O -110 / U -110
NBA · Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets
Mon 07:40 PM ET · 11 books
211.0—210.5 LowVig.ag
O -110 / U -104
211.5 BetRivers
O -108 / U -113
NBA · Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers
Mon 07:40 PM ET · 11 books
239.5—239.5 DraftKings
O -108 / U -112
Only Caesars: 238.0 (O -115 / U -105)
Only Bovada: 238.5 (O -105 / U -115)
Only Fanatics: 239.0 (O -110 / U -110)
240.0 LowVig.ag
O -102 / U -113
NBA · Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic
Mon 07:40 PM ET · 11 books
224.5—223.5 BetUS
O -110 / U -110
224.5 BetRivers
O -112 / U -109
NBA · Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks
Mon 08:10 PM ET · 11 books
234.5—234.5 BetRivers
O -106 / U -115
235.5 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
NBA · New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies
Mon 08:10 PM ET · 11 books
234.5—234.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
Only BetRivers: 233.5 (O -113 / U -108)
Only Bovada: 234.0 (O -110 / U -110)
235.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NBA · Milwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Mon 08:10 PM ET · 11 books
234.0—233.5 FanDuel
O -105 / U -115
Only BetRivers: 232.5 (O -114 / U -107)
234.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NHL · Colorado Avalanche @ Chicago Blackhawks
Mon 08:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.56.39
Reg. 3.56–2.67 (away–home)
6.5 Bovada
O +105 / U -125
Only BetMGM: 6.0 (O -125 / U +105)
6.5 LowVig.ag
O +104 / U -120
NFL · Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
Mon 08:20 PM ET · 11 books
46.5—46.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
46.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NBA · Boston Celtics @ Houston Rockets
Mon 08:40 PM ET · 11 books
219.0—218.0 Caesars
O -110 / U -110
219.5 DraftKings
O -110 / U -110
NBA · Utah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs
Mon 08:40 PM ET · 11 books
231.5—231.5 FanDuel
O -105 / U -115
231.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
Only Fanatics: 232.0 (O -110 / U -110)
Only Bovada: 232.5 (O -110 / U -110)
NBA · Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets
Mon 09:10 PM ET · 11 books
231.5—230.5 FanDuel
O -115 / U -105
232.0 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
NHL · Calgary Flames @ San Jose Sharks
Mon 09:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.56.23
Reg. 2.94–3.12 (away–home)
6.5 Fanatics
O +100 / U -120
Only BetMGM: 6.0 (O -130 / U +105)
6.5 LowVig.ag
O -101 / U -115
NBA · Phoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors
Mon 10:10 PM ET · 11 books
227.5—226.5 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
227.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NBA · Toronto Raptors @ Los Angeles Clippers
Mon 10:10 PM ET · 11 books
221.0—220.5 FanDuel
O -110 / U -110
Only BetRivers: 219.5 (O -127 / U +105)
221.5 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
Only Bovada: 222.0 (O -110 / U -110)
NBA · Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Lakers
Mon 10:10 PM ET · 11 books
237.5—237.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
238.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
Only BetRivers: 239.5 (O +108 / U -130)
NFL · Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens
Thu 08:15 PM ET · 10 books
43.5—43.5 LowVig.ag
O -102 / U -113
43.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
NFL · Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun 09:30 AM ET · 10 books
51.25—51.0 LowVig.ag
O -102 / U -113
51.5 Bovada
O -108 / U -112
NFL · Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 9 books
43.5—43.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
43.5 DraftKings
O -115 / U -105
NFL · Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 10 books
43.0—43.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
Only BetRivers: 42.5 (O -110 / U -110)
43.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
NFL · Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 10 books
51.5—51.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
52.0 Bovada
O -108 / U -112
NFL · Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 10 books
50.0—49.5 Caesars
O -110 / U -109
50.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NFL · New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 10 books
46.0—46.0 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
46.5 FanDuel
O -105 / U -115
NFL · Los Angeles Rams @ Washington Commanders
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 7 books
48.0—47.5 FanDuel
O -112 / U -108
48.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
Only BetRivers: 48.5 (O -110 / U -110)
NFL · New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 7 books
40.5—40.0 BetRivers
O -110 / U -110
Only FanDuel: 39.5 (O -110 / U -110)
40.5 DraftKings
O -115 / U -105
NFL · Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers
Sun 04:05 PM ET · 9 books
41.5—41.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
41.5 FanDuel
O -115 / U -105
NFL · Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers
Sun 04:05 PM ET · 9 books
51.5—51.5 DraftKings
O -105 / U -115
Only BetRivers: 51.0 (O -114 / U -107)
52.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NFL · Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
Sun 04:25 PM ET · 9 books
44.5—44.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
45.0 BetRivers
O -113 / U -107
NFL · Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots
Sun 04:25 PM ET · 10 books
47.5—47.5 FanDuel
O -104 / U -118
47.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears
Sun 08:20 PM ET · 9 books
47.0—47.0 BetMGM
O -108 / U -110
Only FanDuel: 46.5 (O -115 / U -105)
47.5 BetRivers
O -112 / U -109

Price checks follow the morning sports refresh, with later scheduled checks at 11:07 a.m., 4:07 p.m. and 9:07 p.m. Eastern. Recovery and hourly maintenance can refresh prices when due; check the quoted timestamps. Lowest/highest totals are among observed books and are not a ranking of expected value.

Reporting to follow

Coverage and sources

Prices: The Odds API. The price rundown compares full-game totals; quotes more than six hours old and started games are excluded at publication. Today's picks preserve a dated snapshot selected from the separate NFL, MLB, NHL and NBA model boards after freshness and review checks. Newsgathering: dated ESPN league RSS headlines linked to their original articles. Market quotes and publisher timestamps are retained in the downloadable edition snapshot; model forecasts and offers remain in each sport's pipeline archives.

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