Daily market briefing · Fourth & Value
The market rundown: November 03, 2026
31 upcoming games checked · 22 with different totals across books.
Open today's picks and current quote checks →. This dated edition preserves its market rundown; current picks are shown only on the latest briefing.
Price movement after our picks
For each pick on a recent card, we keep the latest market snapshot taken after publication and before the start. A pick “beat the move” when other books’ fair probability at the same line ended above the published price’s break-even rate. A changed line is counted separately. Refreshes run a few times a day, so this is the latest pregame snapshot we hold, not necessarily the closing line, and one snapshot says little about skill.
| Sport | Picks observed | Beat the move (same line) | Average move | Line moved our way |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 21 of 21 | 1 of 19 | -2.2 pp | 0 of 3 |
| NHL | 83 of 83 | 63 of 79 | +1.2 pp | 1 of 1 |
The price rundown
| Game / start ET | Market median | Model total | Lowest line | Highest line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL · Colorado Avalanche @ Columbus Blue Jackets | 6.0 | 6.21 | 6.0 LowVig.ag | 6.5 MyBookie.ag |
| NHL · Dallas Stars @ Washington Capitals | 5.5 | 5.91 | 5.5 MyBookie.ag | 5.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning | 6.0 | 6.34 | 6.0 LowVig.ag | 6.5 BetRivers |
| NHL · Minnesota Wild @ Philadelphia Flyers | 5.5 | 5.74 | 5.5 LowVig.ag | 6.0 BetMGM |
| NHL · Winnipeg Jets @ Montréal Canadiens | 6.0 | 6.10 | 5.5 DraftKings | 6.0 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · St Louis Blues @ New York Rangers | 6.0 | 6.11 | 5.5 FanDuel | 6.0 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins | 6.5 | 6.44 | 6.5 LowVig.ag | 6.5 DraftKings |
| NHL · Utah Mammoth @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 6.5 | 6.82 | 6.5 FanDuel | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Edmonton Oilers @ New Jersey Devils | 6.0 | 6.41 | 6.0 LowVig.ag | 6.5 Fanatics |
| NHL · Carolina Hurricanes @ Nashville Predators | 6.5 | 6.18 | 6.0 BetMGM | 6.5 Bovada |
| NHL · Anaheim Ducks @ Vancouver Canucks | 6.5 | 7.11 | 6.5 FanDuel | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NBA · Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons | 218.5 | 218.5 Fanatics | 218.5 BetRivers | |
| NBA · Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets | 214.5 | 214.5 FanDuel | 214.5 BetRivers | |
| NBA · Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder | 228.5 | 228.5 BetRivers | 228.5 FanDuel | |
| NBA · Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets | 223.5 | 222.5 DraftKings | 224.5 BetRivers | |
| NBA · Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs | 229.5 | 229.5 FanDuel | 229.5 Fanatics | |
| NFL · Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens | 42.5 | 42.0 MyBookie.ag | 42.5 Fanatics | |
| NFL · Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons | 52.25 | 51.5 BetRivers | 52.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers | 43.5 | 43.5 MyBookie.ag | 44.0 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints | 43.5 | 43.0 MyBookie.ag | 43.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts | 51.5 | 51.5 LowVig.ag | 51.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins | 50.5 | 50.0 BetRivers | 50.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs | 46.0 | 46.0 LowVig.ag | 46.5 DraftKings | |
| NFL · Los Angeles Rams @ Washington Commanders | 47.5 | 47.0 Fanatics | 47.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles | 40.0 | 39.5 BetRivers | 40.5 MyBookie.ag | |
| NFL · Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers | 40.5 | 40.5 Bovada | 40.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers | 51.5 | 51.5 MyBookie.ag | 52.0 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks | 44.5 | 44.5 FanDuel | 44.5 MyBookie.ag | |
| NFL · Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots | 47.0 | 46.5 FanDuel | 47.0 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears | 46.5 | 46.5 Fanatics | 47.0 MyBookie.ag | |
| NFL · Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings | 46.0 | 46.0 LowVig.ag | 46.5 BetRivers |
Reporting to follow
- NBA How the Knicks' season, title defense got chaotic -- fast
- NBA NBA Contract Year All-Stars: 12 playing for a pay day -- and what each might get
- NFL Seven things Solak thinks for NFL Week 9: Bucs atop NFC South? RB trades coming?
- MLB Rankings, contract projections: Top 50 2026-27 MLB free agents
- NFL How the NFL trade deadline went from quiet to exciting over the past decade
- NFL Bears' Caleb Williams dims cleat controversy with all-black custom pair
- NBA Luka scores 42 points, earns high praise from Giannis as hot streak continues
- MLB Misiorowski, three other members of Brewers among MLB award finalists
- MLB Bednar, Suzuki, Arozarena among eight to get qualifying offers
Coverage and sources
Prices: The Odds API. The price rundown compares full-game totals; quotes more than six hours old and started games are excluded at publication. Today's picks preserve a dated snapshot selected from the separate NFL, MLB, NHL and NBA model boards after freshness and review checks. Newsgathering: dated ESPN league RSS headlines linked to their original articles. Market quotes and publisher timestamps are retained in the downloadable edition snapshot; model forecasts and offers remain in each sport's pipeline archives.
- NFL: 15 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- MLB: 0 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- NBA: 5 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- NHL: 11 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
Download this edition's market data · Latest briefing · Back to the homepage