Daily market briefing · Fourth & Value
The market rundown: November 05, 2026
28 upcoming games checked · 19 with different totals across books.
Open today's picks and current quote checks →. This dated edition preserves its market rundown; current picks are shown only on the latest briefing.
Price movement after our picks
For each pick on a recent card, we keep the latest market snapshot taken after publication and before the start. A pick “beat the move” when other books’ fair probability at the same line ended above the published price’s break-even rate. A changed line is counted separately. Refreshes run a few times a day, so this is the latest pregame snapshot we hold, not necessarily the closing line, and one snapshot says little about skill.
| Sport | Picks observed | Beat the move (same line) | Average move | Line moved our way |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 11 of 11 | 1 of 9 | -2.6 pp | 0 of 3 |
| NHL | 90 of 90 | 70 of 86 | +1.3 pp | 1 of 1 |
The price rundown
| Game / start ET | Market median | Model total | Lowest line | Highest line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL · Boston Bruins @ Pittsburgh Penguins | 6.5 | 6.31 | 6.5 FanDuel | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Carolina Hurricanes @ New York Islanders | 5.5 | 5.93 | 5.5 DraftKings | 6.0 BetMGM |
| NHL · Chicago Blackhawks @ Tampa Bay Lightning | 6.5 | 6.49 | 6.5 MyBookie.ag | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Dallas Stars @ Columbus Blue Jackets | 5.5 | 5.76 | 5.5 LowVig.ag | 5.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Vegas Golden Knights @ Detroit Red Wings | 6.0 | 6.06 | 5.5 DraftKings | 6.0 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Utah Mammoth @ Montréal Canadiens | 6.5 | 6.48 | 6.5 Fanatics | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · St Louis Blues @ New Jersey Devils | 6.0 | 6.06 | 5.5 Fanatics | 6.0 BetUS |
| NHL · Philadelphia Flyers @ New York Rangers | 5.5 | 5.92 | 5.5 LowVig.ag | 6.0 BetMGM |
| NHL · Vancouver Canucks @ Winnipeg Jets | 6.5 | 6.62 | 6.5 LowVig.ag | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NHL · Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers | 7.0 | 6.96 | 6.5 BetMGM | 7.0 LowVig.ag |
| NFL · Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens | 39.5 | 39.5 LowVig.ag | 39.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NBA · Orlando Magic @ Phoenix Suns | 223.5 | 223.0 MyBookie.ag | 223.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NHL · Nashville Predators @ Colorado Avalanche | 6.5 | 6.45 | 6.5 LowVig.ag | 6.5 LowVig.ag |
| NBA · Miami Heat @ Golden State Warriors | 235.5 | 235.0 MyBookie.ag | 236.0 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons | 52.5 | 52.5 LowVig.ag | 52.5 FanDuel | |
| NFL · Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers | 44.0 | 43.5 LowVig.ag | 44.5 Bovada | |
| NFL · Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints | 42.5 | 42.5 LowVig.ag | 43.5 FanDuel | |
| NFL · Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts | 51.5 | 51.5 LowVig.ag | 51.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins | 50.5 | 50.0 BetMGM | 50.5 DraftKings | |
| NFL · New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs | 47.5 | 47.5 FanDuel | 47.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Los Angeles Rams @ Washington Commanders | 48.0 | 47.5 Caesars | 48.5 Fanatics | |
| NFL · New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles | 38.5 | 38.5 LowVig.ag | 39.0 BetRivers | |
| NFL · Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers | 40.5 | 40.5 MyBookie.ag | 41.0 BetUS | |
| NFL · Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers | 53.0 | 52.5 Caesars | 53.0 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks | 39.5 | 39.5 LowVig.ag | 39.5 FanDuel | |
| NFL · Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots | 46.0 | 45.5 Fanatics | 46.0 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears | 47.5 | 47.5 DraftKings | 47.5 LowVig.ag | |
| NFL · Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings | 45.5 | 45.5 Fanatics | 46.0 LowVig.ag |
Reporting to follow
- NFL Fantasy playbook: Week 9 Shadow Reports, lineup locks and projected scores
- NBA 2027 NBA draft big board rankings: Top 100 prospects
- MLB Best of MLB playoffs: Moments, games that defined October
- NFL Is DeForest Buckner's 'nostalgic' trade return the final piece for the 49ers?
- NBA Heat's Klay Thompson hits eight 3s, but none as dramatic as game winner
- NFL What 18 contenders should do at the NFL trade deadline: Who could get aggressive?
- MLB Francona brings in former assistant Joe Torres as Reds pitching coach
- NHL NHL Tonight: Previewing Preds-Avs, Canes-Isles, nine other Thursday games
- NBA Luka Doncic again puts up 40 as torrid stretch continues in Lakers' win
- NHL Which NHL coaches have the most wins in history?
Coverage and sources
Prices: The Odds API. The price rundown compares full-game totals; quotes more than six hours old and started games are excluded at publication. Today's picks preserve a dated snapshot selected from the separate NFL, MLB, NHL and NBA model boards after freshness and review checks. Newsgathering: dated ESPN league RSS headlines linked to their original articles. Market quotes and publisher timestamps are retained in the downloadable edition snapshot; model forecasts and offers remain in each sport's pipeline archives.
- NFL: 15 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- MLB: 0 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- NBA: 2 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
- NHL: 11 upcoming games with fresh paired totals at two or more books
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