Daily market briefing · Fourth & Value

The market rundown: November 10, 2026

27 upcoming games checked · 23 with different totals across books.

Prices checked Nov 10 at 07:15 AM ET

Open today's picks and current quote checks →. This dated edition preserves its market rundown; current picks are shown only on the latest briefing.

Price movement after our picks

For each pick on a recent card, we keep the latest market snapshot taken after publication and before the start. A pick “beat the move” when other books’ fair probability at the same line ended above the published price’s break-even rate. A changed line is counted separately. Refreshes run a few times a day, so this is the latest pregame snapshot we hold, not necessarily the closing line, and one snapshot says little about skill.

SportPicks observedBeat the move (same line)Average moveLine moved our way
MLB7 of 71 of 5-2.9 pp0 of 2
NHL91 of 9174 of 87+1.6 pp1 of 1

The price rundown

Book prices pulled Nov 10, 7:10 AM–7:15 AM ET

Full-game totals across observed books. Model total is the experimental NHL model’s expected full-game goals, including one overtime/shootout goal when regulation ends tied; other sports show a dash. Lowest line shows the book with the best Over price at that total; highest line shows the book with the best Under price. With four or more books, the range uses totals at least two books share; a total posted by one book alone is listed beneath as “Only”.
Game / start ETMarket medianModel totalLowest lineHighest line
NHL · Colorado Avalanche @ Toronto Maple Leafs
Tue 07:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.56.64
Reg. 3.47–3.02 (away–home)
6.5 FanDuel
O -108 / U -112
6.5 BetMGM
O -120 / U +100
NHL · Minnesota Wild @ Montréal Canadiens
Tue 07:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.56.01
Reg. 2.96–2.88 (away–home)
6.0 MyBookie.ag
O -120 / U -102
6.5 LowVig.ag
O +104 / U -120
NHL · New Jersey Devils @ Winnipeg Jets
Tue 07:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.06.17
Reg. 3.11–2.89 (away–home)
6.0 LowVig.ag
O -115 / U -101
6.5 Fanatics
O +105 / U -125
NHL · Washington Capitals @ Ottawa Senators
Tue 07:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.06.43
Reg. 2.97–3.30 (away–home)
6.0 MyBookie.ag
O -120 / U -102
6.5 BetMGM
O +100 / U -120
NBA · Milwaukee Bucks @ New York Knicks
Tue 07:40 PM ET · 11 books
220.0—219.5 BetRivers
O -113 / U -110
220.5 DraftKings
O -112 / U -108
Only Bovada: 221.0 (O -110 / U -110)
NHL · Florida Panthers @ Columbus Blue Jackets
Tue 07:40 PM ET · 11 books
6.06.03
Reg. 2.90–2.96 (away–home)
5.5 Fanatics
O -125 / U +105
6.0 BetMGM
O -105 / U -115
NBA · Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers
Tue 08:10 PM ET · 11 books
218.0—217.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
218.5 BetRivers
O -115 / U -107
NHL · Detroit Red Wings @ St Louis Blues
Tue 08:10 PM ET · 11 books
5.55.95
Reg. 2.72–3.06 (away–home)
5.5 Fanatics
O -125 / U +105
6.0 BetMGM
O -110 / U -110
NBA · Los Angeles Clippers @ Phoenix Suns
Tue 09:10 PM ET · 11 books
225.0—224.5 Bovada
O -110 / U -110
225.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
Only BetRivers: 226.5 (O -107 / U -115)
NBA · Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz
Tue 09:10 PM ET · 11 books
228.5—227.5 DraftKings
O -110 / U -110
228.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NBA · Orlando Magic @ Sacramento Kings
Tue 10:10 PM ET · 11 books
222.5—221.5 FanDuel
O -115 / U -105
222.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
Only Caesars: 223.0 (O -110 / U -110)
Only Bovada: 223.5 (O -110 / U -110)
NHL · Nashville Predators @ Los Angeles Kings
Tue 10:10 PM ET · 11 books
6.06.01
Reg. 2.92–2.92 (away–home)
6.0 MyBookie.ag
O -120 / U -102
6.5 Fanatics
O +105 / U -125
NBA · Oklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trail Blazers
Tue 11:10 PM ET · 11 books
226.5—226.0 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
226.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
Only Caesars: 227.0 (O -110 / U -110)
NFL · Washington Commanders @ New York Giants
Thu 08:15 PM ET · 11 books
42.0—41.5 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
42.5 FanDuel
O -110 / U -110
NFL · New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions
Sun 09:30 AM ET · 11 books
51.0—50.5 FanDuel
O -115 / U -105
51.5 Bovada
O -108 / U -112
NFL · Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
45.0—45.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
45.5 FanDuel
O -105 / U -115
NFL · Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 6 books
50.5—50.5 DraftKings
O -105 / U -115
50.5 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
NFL · Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
48.0—47.5 BetRivers
O -107 / U -115
48.0 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
Only MyBookie.ag: 48.5 (O -110 / U -110)
NFL · Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
39.5—39.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
40.0 BetMGM
O -108 / U -112
NFL · Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 6 books
41.25—40.5 BetRivers
O -113 / U -108
41.5 DraftKings
O -110 / U -110
NFL · Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
40.5—40.5 LowVig.ag
O -102 / U -113
40.5 FanDuel
O -115 / U -105
NFL · Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans
Sun 01:00 PM ET · 11 books
46.5—46.0 Fanatics
O -110 / U -110
46.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
Only BetUS: 47.0 (O -110 / U -110)
NFL · Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun 04:05 PM ET · 11 books
39.5—39.5 MyBookie.ag
O -110 / U -110
40.5 FanDuel
O -105 / U -115
NFL · Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun 04:05 PM ET · 11 books
43.5—43.0 BetRivers
O -109 / U -112
43.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
NFL · San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun 04:25 PM ET · 11 books
55.5—55.5 Caesars
O -108 / U -112
56.0 BetMGM
O -108 / U -110
NFL · Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun 08:20 PM ET · 11 books
48.5—48.5 Bovada
O -105 / U -115
48.5 LowVig.ag
O -108 / U -106
NFL · Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens
Mon 08:15 PM ET · 10 books
38.5—38.5 LowVig.ag
O -107 / U -107
Only BetRivers: 38.0 (O -108 / U -113)
38.5 FanDuel
O -115 / U -105

Price checks follow the morning sports refresh, with later scheduled checks at 11:07 a.m., 4:07 p.m. and 9:07 p.m. Eastern. Recovery and hourly maintenance can refresh prices when due; check the quoted timestamps. Lowest/highest totals are among observed books and are not a ranking of expected value.

Reporting to follow

Coverage and sources

Prices: The Odds API. The price rundown compares full-game totals; quotes more than six hours old and started games are excluded at publication. Today's picks preserve a dated snapshot selected from the separate NFL, MLB, NHL and NBA model boards after freshness and review checks. Newsgathering: dated ESPN league RSS headlines linked to their original articles. Market quotes and publisher timestamps are retained in the downloadable edition snapshot; model forecasts and offers remain in each sport's pipeline archives.

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